Gold performance/technicals:
- Gold moved higher last week (XAU 0.5%, LBMA 0.6%) as the US dollar gave back some of the previous week gains and market weakness drove rates lower.
- Gold moved back above the $1,500 and 50-day moving average levels, suggesting the bearish head-and-shoulders breakdown the previous week was a false move. These levels will remain very important as to sense the next price direction of gold.
Gold Price
Source: CFTC, Bloomberg
Gold-backed ETF flows by time periods:
- $800mn worth of inflows globally last week split between the US (+$380mn) and Europe (+$408mn). Other regions had minimal flows.
- Flows are higher by $638mn in October; September ETF flows will be released tomorrow at 8am EST
Options and volatility:
- Implied volatility rose to near 1-yr highs with the recent >1% moves in the price of gold. Options skew remains bullish in sentiment with premiums paid for calls versus puts.
- $1,500 and $1,550 house significant futures open interest and should act as a trading range in the near term.