Featured Report
Gold Market Commentary: An unseasonal August may lie ahead
August has been a good month for gold returns over the past two decades, likely driven by seasonally weak bond yields and consumer sentiment, anticipation of seasonal equity volatility in September, and some gold restocking in India and China.
Gold investment market and financialisation: India gold market series
India is one of the world’s largest gold bar and coin markets. Investment demand for gold is driven by its safe-haven appeal and the ability to convert these products into jewellery at a later stage.
The relevance of gold for Australian Self-Managed Super Funds
Gold, in Australian dollars (AUD), delivered positive returns in 2022 and this has continued so far in 2023. It has attracted attention: not only have global central banks continued to buy gold, but Australia’s sovereign wealth fund has also added gold to its portfolio.
Gold Mid-year Outlook 2023: Between a soft and a hard place
Developed market central banks are nearing the end of their tightening cycles.1 For now, market consensus points to a mild contraction in the US in late 2023 and slow growth in developed markets.
Outflows result in H1 disinvestment
Global gold ETFs experienced net outflows of US$3.7bn (56t) in June, calling a halt to their three-month inflow streak. June’s outflow caused global gold ETF demand during H1 2023 to turn negative, leaving collective holdings of global gold ETFs at US$211bn (3,422t).
Gold Market Commentary: Gold rally takes a breather in April
Gold in US$/oz returned just 0.1% in April, consolidating after a strong run up during Q1. Support for gold came from lower rates and positive ETF flows while lower inflation expectations and profit taking created a drag.
Gold Market Primer: Market size and structure
Gold is an attractive means of helping investors diversify their portfolios. Its relative scarcity supports its long-term investment appeal. But its market size is large enough to make it relevant for a wide variety of investors, from individuals to institutions and central banks.
Gold Market Commentary: Gold Gears up for Brewing Crisis
Cracks from unprecedented rate hikes are beginning to show, with US small banks and real estate sectors at the epicentre. Gold’s case just got stronger.
Gold Market Commentary: Gold winded in February by strong US data
Gold shed 5.2% in February, as surprisingly strong US economic data propelled both yields and the US dollar higher. Global gold ETFs suffered more losses led by European funds while North American funds saw small outflows for the first time in two months. Recent futures positioning remains unavailable following issues with the data.
Gold Market Commentary
A falling US dollar was a significant contributor to gold’s 6.1% return in January and another positive ‘unexplained’ factor could be continued central bank buying or expectations thereof. Gold futures have also helped support the rally and, looking forward, we expect North American gold ETFs to continue seeing positive demand in coming weeks as historical analysis shows that positioning in futures tends to lead ETFs flows by two weeks.
